2025 Oscars Best Supporting Actress Predictions

Variety Awards Circuit section is the home for all awards news and related content throughout the year, featuring the following: the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and Tony Awards ceremonies, curated by Variety senior awards editor Clayton Davis. The prediction pages reflect the current standings in the race and do not reflect personal preferences for any individual contender. As other formal (and informal) polls suggest, competitions are fluid and subject to change based on buzz and events. Predictions are updated every Thursday.

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2025 Oscars Predictions:
Best Actress in a Supporting Role

Weekly Commentary (Updated Nov. 14, 2024): More to come.

Read: You can see all Academy Award predictions in all 23 categories on one page on the Variety Awards Circuit: Oscars.

Below are the latest rankings for best supporting actress. The 97th Oscars will be held on Sunday, March 2. The full rankings are below. All movie listings, titles, and distributors are not final and are subject to change.

• 

  And the Predicted Nominees Are

  Rank	Performer & Film
  1	Saoirse Ronan — “Blitz” (Apple Original Films)
  2	Zoe Saldaña — “Emilia Pérez” (Netflix)
  3	Isabella Rossellini — “Conclave” (Focus Features)
  4	Ariana Grande — “Wicked” (Universal Pictures)
  5	Danielle Deadwyler — “The Piano Lesson” (Netflix)

  Oscars: Best Actress in a Supporting Role (Variety Awards Circuit Predictions)

• 

  Next in Line

  Rank	Performer & Film
  6	Monica Barbaro — “A Complete Unknown” (Searchlight Pictures)
  7	Selena Gomez — “Emilia Pérez” (Netflix)
  8	Felicity Jones — “The Brutalist” (A24)
  9	Natasha Lyonne — “His Three Daughters” (Netflix)
  10	Michele Austin — “Hard Truths” (Bleecker Street)

  Oscars: Best Actress in a Supporting Role (Variety Awards Circuit Predictions)

• 

  Other Contenders

  Rank	Performer & Film
  11	Joan Chen — “Dìdi” (Focus Features)
  12	Margaret Qualley — “The Substance” (Mubi)
  13	Aunjanue Ellis-Taylor — “Nickel Boys” (Amazon MGM/Orion)
  14	Leonie Benesch — “September 5” (Paramount Pictures)
  15	Carrie Coon — “His Three Daughters” (Netflix)
  16	Jennifer Lopez — “Unstoppable” (Amazon MGM)
  17	Jamie Lee Curtis — “The Last Showgirl” (Roadside Attractions)
  18	Connie Nielsen — “Gladiator II” (Paramount Pictures)
  19	Elizabeth Olsen — “His Three Daughters” (Netflix)
  20	Fernanda Montenegro — “I’m Still Here” (Sony Pictures Classics)

  Oscars: Best Actress in a Supporting Role (Variety Awards Circuit Predictions)

• 

  Also In Contention

  Rank	Performer & Film
  21	Toni Collette — “Juror No. 2” (Warner Bros.)
  22	Adriana Paz — “Emilia Pérez” (Netflix)
  23	Rachel Sennott — “Saturday Night” (Sony Pictures)
  24	Maria Bakalova — “The Apprentice” (Briarcliff Entertainment)
  25	Lesley Manville — “Queer” (A24)
  26	Elle Fanning — “A Complete Unknown” (Searchlight Pictures)
  27	Dolly De Leon — “Ghostlight” (IFC Films)
  28	Lady Gaga — “Joker: Folie à Deux” (Warner Bros.)
  29	Brenda Song — “The Last Showgirl” (Roadside Attractions)
  30	Brigette Lundy-Paine — “I Saw the TV Glow” (A24)

  Oscars: Best Actress in a Supporting Role (Variety Awards Circuit Predictions)

• Eligible Titles (Best Supporting Actress)

  

  ** This list is incomplete and not yet finalized. Not all films have distribution or release dates. All are subject to change.

• More Information (Oscars: Best Supporting Actress)

  

  2024 category winner: Da’Vine Joy Randolph — “The Holdovers” (Focus Features)

  2024-2025 Oscars Calendar and Timeline (all dates are subject to change)

  • Eligibility period: Jan. 1, 2024 – Dec. 31, 2024
  • General entry, best picture, RAISE submission deadline: Thursday, Nov. 14, 2024
  • Governors Awards: Sunday, Nov. 17, 2024
  • Preliminary voting begins Monday, Dec. 9, 2024, at 9 a.m. PT.
  • Preliminary voting ends Friday, Dec. 13, 2024, at 5 p.m. PT.
  • Oscar Shortlists Announcement: Tuesday, Dec. 17, 2024
  • Eligibility period ends: Tuesday, Dec. 31, 2024
  • Nominations voting begins Wednesday, Jan. 8, 2025, at 9 a.m. PT.
  • Nominations voting ends Sunday, Jan. 12, 2025, at 5 p.m. PT.
  • Oscar Nominations Announcement: Friday, Jan. 17, 2025
  • Oscar Nominees Luncheon: Monday, Feb. 10, 2025
  • Final voting begins Tuesday, Feb. 11, 2025, at 9 a.m. PT
  • Final voting ends: Tuesday, Feb. 18, 2025, at 5 p.m. PT
  • Scientific and Technical Awards: Tuesday, Feb. 18, 2025
  • 97th Oscars: Sunday, March 2, 2025

  Oscars Prediction Categories

  2024 Oscar Predictions (Variety Awards Circuit)

  About the Academy Awards

  The Academy Awards, better known as the Oscars, is Hollywood’s most prestigious artistic award in the film industry. Since 1927, nominees and winners have been selected by members of the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS). Nineteen branches are represented within the nearly 11,000-person membership. The branches are actors, animators, associates, casting directors, cinematographers, costume designers, directors, documentary, executives, film editors, makeup and hairstylists, marketing and public relations, members-at-large, members-at-large (artists’ representatives), music, producers, production design, short films, sound, visual effects and writers.

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